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GeoPoll Blog

Predicted World Cup Winners Change Over Time

Posted by Roxana Elliott on June 27, 2014

Last week we shared the World Cup predictions from 10 African nations: Benin, Democratic Republic of Congo, Ghana, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, South Africa, Tanzania, and Uganda, and found that 36% of respondents thought Brazil would win, followed by Germany at 11%.  After collecting data for two weeks now, some interesting trends have emerged. 

As shown in the chart below, two teams have begun to stand out from the crowd in terms of their perceived chances of winning the World Cup. From the beginning, our survey respondents across Africa thought Brazil was likely to win, but as demonstrated below, Germany also became a popular answer after they won their game against Portugal decisively on the 16th of June: on the 17th, many more respondents chose Germany as their tournament winner.  Respondents lost some confidence in Brazil after their 0-0 tie with Mexico on the 17th, but regained it after their 4-1 win against Cameroon.

Another interesting finding shows that, while 18% of users across Africa said they thought Ghana would win on the first day of matches, that number quickly went down. With the Rroup of 16 teams now decided, we will be even more curious to see what results show during the next round of play! 

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Topics: Africa, mobile survey, World Cup